Hot stove predictions: trades
MLB free agency has been god-awfully slow, but there's been no shortage of trades this season.
The Marlins were so happy to get a pack of Frooties back from the Yankees for Giancarlo Stanton, they traded Marcell Ozuna to St. Louis for a slice of Imo's Pizza (which is huff as fuck if we're keeping it a buck).
The Giants FINALLY dealt for Evan Longoria, and we also saw the salary dumps of all salary dumps when the Dodgers re-acquired Braves outfielder Matt Kemp for Adrian Gonzalez, Brandon McCarthy and Scott Kasmir. It was an NBA-style of getting rid of salaries to get under the luxury tax. A genius move by the LA brass.
Aside from that, it's been mostly talk from teams looking to trade star players. The Orioles ruined any chance of re-signing Manny Machado before next offseason by linking his name with damn near every team in MLB. The Pirates are close to trading Gerrit Cole somewhere, and they still have Andrew McCutchen to deal with.
Here's some predictions on where top trade names will end up (or not). When you're done, catch my free agency predictions here.
Machado is rare; a mixture of power and slick fielding who has clubbed 30 homers each of the last three seasons and has a WAR of 6.0 or better in the three seasons he received MVP consideration. What's rare about him is that kind of player doesn't hit free agency at 26 that often.
It would behoove the Orioles to re-sign him, but they've fumbled their chances at that. Their best bet is to trade him before the summer trade deadline and recoup some assets for what could turn out to be a one-year rental. It's better than letting him walk for a compensatory draft pick.
Rumor has it the Yankees are in on the Machado sweepstakes, but the Orioles would be sick to trade him to a division rival. The White Sox were the aggressive name at the Winter Meetings, but they've done a helluva job stocking the farm in the last year and it doesn't make sense to undo that work for one year of Machado. The Cardinals are the most likely destination, and they could give him a chance to return to shortstop like he wants.
Prediction: St. Louis will bid hard for Machado, but the Orioles don't like any bids. Machado stays in Baltimore to start the season, is traded to a contender for a lesser haul at the deadline.
The Pirates' run to three consecutive playoff berths ended with no series win and back-to-back embarrassments at home in the wild card game. Now it's time for Pittsburgh to rebuild, and first to go? Star pitcher Gerrit Cole.
MLB Network's Jon Morosi reports the Pirates have agreed to a deal with the Houston Astros for Cole, who now becomes the young ace behind Justin Verlander and Dallas Keuchel for the defending World Series champs. The Astros are bringing over a game-changer to the American League.
The Pirates will then turn their attention to former MVP Andrew McCutchen, who actually had a decent year-30 season after struggling in 2016. His WAR boosted from -0.7 to 2.5, hit 28 home runs 88 RBI's and an .849 OPS. Even in his 30s, McCutchen brings veteran leadership and a solid bat to any outfield.
The Giants are players in the McCutchen sweepstakes with their abysmal outfield, as are the Mets, with a logjam but not many great players outside of Yoenis Cespedes.
Prediction: Giants trade for McCutchen after signing Lorenzo Cain, move McCutchen to right & Pence to left.
Pirates trade Josh Harrison to Mets
Chris Archer stays with Rays
Marlins trade Christian Yelich to Brewers
Jose Abreu stays with White Sox